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BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:1
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Yakult Brotherswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 25 games
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 24 games
71%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 23 games
70%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
64%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 22 games
77%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SabeRLight- · 20 games
65%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Nisha · 20 games
60%

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
BoBoKa · 25 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
43%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 19 games
63%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 18 games
67%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
69%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
63%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 15 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
468 picks · 399 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
464 picks · 569 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
447 picks · 550 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
427 picks · 526 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
414 picks · 772 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 454 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
403 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
399 picks · 864 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 62%
Hero pool strength52% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total78% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed4:37
Team Liquid 63%Yakult Brothers 37%
The model gave 63% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 29:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekermiCKe
44% · 41 game54% · 65 games
LycanAme
Lycan
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinNisha
48% · 223 games58% · 176 games
Bristlebackzeal
Bristleback
Pangolier
PangolierSabeRLight-
47% · 478 games51% · 219 games
PuckEmo
Puck
Slark
SlarkBoxi
51% · 89 games44% · 288 games
BatriderBoBoKa
Batrider
Lich
LichiNSaNiA
51% · 201 game52% · 284 games
Clockwerk天命
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 78%
Series resultYakult Brothers 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1