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BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:1
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Yakult Brothersloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 35 games
66%
Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 28 games
61%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 25 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 22 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 20 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Boxi · 19 games
53%
Rubick
Rubick
Boxi · 17 games
41%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 17 games
65%

Yakult Brothers

Lion
Lionsignature
Kaka · 20 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Kaka · 16 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
Emo · 13 games
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Emo · 12 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Setsu · 12 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
lou · 11 games
64%
Mirana
Miranasignature
天命 · 10 games
70%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
BEYOND · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
506 picks · 300 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
408 picks · 169 bans
52%
Mirana
Mirana
380 picks · 169 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 497 bans
59%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
318 picks · 285 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
313 picks · 312 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
291 picks · 495 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
278 picks · 352 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 59%
Hero pool strength50% Team Liquid
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total85% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:10
Team Liquid 70%Yakult Brothers 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 36:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetmiCKe
45% · 228 games48% · 376 games
Storm SpiritEmo
Storm Spirit
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMidOne
39% · 313 games64% · 124 games
Clinkzlou
Clinkz
Batrider
BatriderWisper
48% · 271 game51% · 242 games
DoomBEYOND
Doom
Largo
LargotOfu
52% · 311 games56% · 141 game
Winter WyvernKaka
Winter Wyvern
Windranger
WindrangerBoxi
46% · 416 games52% · 656 games
Hoodwink天命
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction missed12:30
Team Liquid 72%Yakult Brothers 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 31:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark Seer
Dark SeerWisper
48% · 188 games48% · 70 games
Svenlou
Sven
Kez
KezmiCKe
52% · 306 games60% · 264 games
Ember SpiritEmo
Ember Spirit
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightMidOne
57% · 3 games41% · 65 games
BrewmasterBEYOND
Brewmaster
Techies
TechiestOfu
50% · 237 games48% · 146 games
Ringmaster天命
Ringmaster
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritBoxi
51% · 212 games52% · 401 game
HoodwinkKaka
Hoodwink
Game 3prediction correct38:21
Team Liquid 70%Yakult Brothers 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 36:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinymiCKe
50% · 507 games48% · 40 games
Slarklou
Slark
Brewmaster
BrewmasterWisper
44% · 146 games56% · 129 games
UndyingBEYOND
Undying
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMidOne
50% · 193 games55% · 253 games
Storm SpiritEmo
Storm Spirit
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctortOfu
45% · 89 games47% · 216 games
Warlock天命
Warlock
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageBoxi
46% · 121 game54% · 418 games
HoodwinkKaka
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 85%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3