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European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxwin 1:0
series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DOGSENTloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Lynx

Underlord
Underlordsignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 27 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 23 games
57%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 23 games
65%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 20 games
65%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
mellojul · 20 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
QBFY · 19 games
74%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 19 games
63%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 19 games
58%

DOGSENT

Jakiro
Jakiro
Nagato · 3 games
0%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Nagato · 2 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
islA · 2 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Atoufix · 1 game
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Atoufix · 1 game
0%
Huskar
Huskaroften banned
Atoufix · 1 game
0%
Marci
Marci
Atoufix · 1 game
0%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Atoufix · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
497 picks · 272 bans
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
489 picks · 553 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
463 picks · 373 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
447 picks · 349 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
389 picks · 332 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
354 picks · 832 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
351 picks · 850 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
331 picks · 192 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 21%
Hero pool strength60% Team Lynx
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total94% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Lynx 94%DOGSENT 6%
The model gave 94% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 94%
Series resultTeam Lynx 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1