?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxloss 1:2
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Passion UAwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Lynx

Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
StoneBank · 6 games
17%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
StoneBank · 5 games
60%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
StoneBank · 4 games
0%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
DarkLord^ · 4 games
25%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 3 games
33%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
DarkLord^ · 3 games
0%
Wraith King
Wraith King
StoneBank · 3 games
33%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
StoneBank · 2 games
0%

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
QBFY · 25 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
Crystallize · 19 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 14 games
43%
Windranger
Windranger
QBFY · 13 games
31%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
niche · 12 games
83%
Jakiro
Jakiro
kreker · 11 games
27%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Batyuk · 10 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
kreker · 10 games
30%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
582 picks · 587 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
393 picks · 393 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
376 picks · 404 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
347 picks · 207 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
346 picks · 505 bans
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
329 picks · 707 bans
45%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
319 picks · 613 bans
55%
Puck
Puck
318 picks · 801 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 47%
Hero pool strength56% Passion UA
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total73% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Lynx 27%Passion UA 73%
The model gave 73% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Lynx 27%Passion UA 73%
The model gave 73% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Game 3prediction correct
Team Lynx 27%Passion UA 73%
The model gave 73% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 73%
Series resultPassion UA 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3