Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxloss 0:2series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Pipsqueak+4win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
Underlordoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 27 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 24 games
Rubick
QBFY · 22 games
Phoenixsignature
kreker · 21 game
Tidehunteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 21 game
Dark Willowsignature
QBFY · 19 games
Hoodwink
QBFY · 19 games
Pangolieroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 19 games
Pipsqueak+4
Hoodwink
Ekki · 27 games
Jakiro
aik · 27 games
Underlordsignature
Palantimos · 27 games
Tusk
Ekki · 24 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Palantimos · 22 games
Marsoften banned
Palantimos · 22 games
Warlock
aik · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
Ekki · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
574 picks · 353 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 576 bans
Rubick
464 picks · 245 bans
Tiny
437 picks · 378 bans
Pangolier
389 picks · 544 bans
Puck
333 picks · 887 bans
Beastmaster
323 picks · 820 bans
Ember Spirit
314 picks · 458 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength53% Team Lynx
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total63% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:25
Team Lynx 55%Pipsqueak+4 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4 in 31:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DawnbreakerVladikTheHtiviy
TinyDarkLord^
Kez7jesu
Ember SpiritCopy
Pangoliermellojul
BeastmasterMalik
Techieskreker
Nyx AssassinEkki
RubickQBFY
Baneaik
Game 2prediction missed28:46
Team Lynx 55%Pipsqueak+4 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4 in 45:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger7jesu
Queen of PainCopy
TidehunterVladikTheHtiviy
KunkkaMalik
Tinymellojul
AlchemistDarkLord^
Phoenixkreker
BatriderEkki
HoodwinkQBFY
Baneaik
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 63%
Series resultPipsqueak+4 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2