Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxloss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Pipsqueak+4win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
Underlordsignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 29 games
Phoenixsignature
kreker · 25 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 24 games
Rubick
QBFY · 24 games
Tidehunteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 22 games
Hoodwink
QBFY · 21 game
Dark Willowsignature
QBFY · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 20 games
Pipsqueak+4
Hoodwink
Ekki · 27 games
Jakiro
aik · 27 games
Underlordsignature
Palantimos · 27 games
Tusk
Ekki · 24 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Palantimos · 22 games
Marsoften banned
Palantimos · 22 games
Warlock
aik · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
Ekki · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
587 picks · 361 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 578 bans
Rubick
477 picks · 256 bans
Tiny
447 picks · 384 bans
Pangolier
395 picks · 547 bans
Puck
337 picks · 900 bans
Beastmaster
329 picks · 832 bans
Ember Spirit
319 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Team Lynx
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total58% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:0
Team Lynx 54%Pipsqueak+4 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4 in 50:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny7jesu
PangolierCopy
UnderlordVladikTheHtiviy
AlchemistDarkLord^
Queen of Painmellojul
BeastmasterMalik
Techieskreker
Lichaik
RubickQBFY
HoodwinkEkki
Game 2prediction missed0:0
Team Lynx 55%Pipsqueak+4 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4 in 13:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna7jesu
DoomMalik
AxeVladikTheHtiviy
TinyDarkLord^
Storm Spiritmellojul
PangolierCopy
Techieskreker
RubickEkki
WindrangerQBFY
Treant Protectoraik
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 58%
Series resultPipsqueak+4 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2