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European Pro League Season 35 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxloss 0:2
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:2
VP.Prodigywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Lynx

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 27 games
63%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 18 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 15 games
60%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
QBFY · 15 games
60%
Sand King
Sand King
mellojul · 14 games
36%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 14 games
36%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 13 games
46%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
mellojul · 12 games
67%

VP.Prodigy

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
JANTER · 25 games
72%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
raregods · 18 games
39%
Sand King
Sand King
Katsura · 17 games
47%
Axe
Axeoften banned
takizawa · 15 games
40%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
raregods · 13 games
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Serenada · 13 games
54%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
cutie · 12 games
83%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
raregods · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
604 picks · 941 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
489 picks · 435 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
464 picks · 506 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
438 picks · 287 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
430 picks · 1052 bans
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
416 picks · 592 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 678 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
393 picks · 573 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% Team Lynx
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total69% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Lynx 69%VP.Prodigy 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Lynx 69%VP.Prodigy 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 69%
Series resultVP.Prodigy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2