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EPL Championship Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxloss 0:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yellow Submarinewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Lynx

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 18 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 14 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 13 games
62%
Mars
Marsoften banned
fortniteMan · 12 games
50%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 12 games
33%
Sand King
Sand King
mellojul · 11 games
27%
Puck
Pucksignature
mellojul · 10 games
70%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
mellojul · 10 games
60%

Yellow Submarine

Disruptor
Disruptor
Xakoda · 26 games
38%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mirele · 26 games
62%
Snapfire
Snapfire
sayuw · 25 games
48%
Tusk
Tusk
mrls · 25 games
36%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 25 games
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 23 games
52%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Mirele · 23 games
39%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 22 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
563 picks · 722 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
511 picks · 352 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
486 picks · 657 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
450 picks · 547 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
397 picks · 135 bans
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
386 picks · 184 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
375 picks · 528 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
373 picks · 516 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total59% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Lynx 59%Yellow Submarine 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Lynx 59%Yellow Submarine 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 59%
Series resultYellow Submarine 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2