Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Team M11loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
UD Vessuwanwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team M11
No games played over 6 months.
UD Vessuwan
Snapfire
Poloson · 12 games
Lionsignature
Poloson · 9 games
Miranasignature
Jhocam · 9 games
Kunkkasignature
inYourdreaM · 8 games
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 7 games
Clockwerksignature
Poloson · 6 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
inYourdreaM · 6 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jhocam · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
491 picks · 336 bans
Queen of Pain
441 picks · 545 bans
Weaver
394 picks · 613 bans
Mars
387 picks · 548 bans
Kunkka
317 picks · 512 bans
Spirit Breaker
306 picks · 543 bans
Snapfire
277 picks · 128 bans
Wraith King
266 picks · 355 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% UD Vessuwan
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% UD Vessuwan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteUD Vessuwan · 51%
Series resultUD Vessuwan 0:2
Series predictioncorrect