Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Team MagMawin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Shenzhenloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Shenzhen
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
346 picks · 506 bans
Snapfire
309 picks · 173 bans
Bane
296 picks · 236 bans
Weaver
285 picks · 639 bans
Monkey King
257 picks · 732 bans
Tidehunter
257 picks · 395 bans
Ember Spirit
228 picks · 309 bans
Disruptor
221 picks · 142 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Team MagMa
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% Team MagMa
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:23
Team MagMa 59%Shenzhen 41%
The model gave 59% on Team MagMa — the game was taken by Shenzhen in 35:54.
Game 2prediction missed22:37
Team MagMa 59%Shenzhen 41%
The model gave 59% on Team MagMa — the game was taken by Shenzhen in 42:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam MagMa · 59%
Series resultTeam MagMa 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2