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Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team MagMaloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team SMGwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team MagMa

No games played over 6 months.

Team SMG

Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
AhFu · 23 games
70%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Roddgeee · 21 game
57%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
Roddgeee · 20 games
70%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 15 games
80%
Lion
Lionsignature
Roddgeee · 15 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Roddgeee · 15 games
80%
Lina
Linasignature
Moon · 14 games
71%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
MidOne · 14 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
368 picks · 545 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
343 picks · 256 bans
59%
Snapfire
Snapfire
340 picks · 203 bans
45%
Weaver
Weaver
322 picks · 718 bans
56%
Monkey King
Monkey King
244 picks · 741 bans
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
241 picks · 157 bans
51%
Io
Io
240 picks · 568 bans
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
236 picks · 378 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total65% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 65%
Series resultTeam SMG 0:2
Series predictioncorrect