Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTteam_monkeys-win 2:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TGTeam Giga cringeloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
team_monkeys-
Lifestealeroften banned
Double King · 7 games
Mirana
albinozebra · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
Broodmotheroften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
albinozebra · 3 games
Vengeful Spirit
albinozebra · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
monkeys-forever · 2 games
Chenoften banned
albinozebra · 2 games
Team Giga cringe
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
417 picks · 609 bans
Gyrocopter
373 picks · 382 bans
Crystal Maiden
360 picks · 146 bans
Centaur Warrunner
358 picks · 467 bans
Pangolier
320 picks · 575 bans
Rubick
317 picks · 154 bans
Dragon Knight
315 picks · 663 bans
Batrider
314 picks · 436 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% team_monkeys-
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% team_monkeys-
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
team_monkeys- 65%Team Giga cringe 35%
The model gave 65% on team_monkeys- — the game was taken by team_monkeys-.
Game 2prediction correct
team_monkeys- 65%Team Giga cringe 35%
The model gave 65% on team_monkeys- — the game was taken by team_monkeys-.
Model check result
Model favoriteteam_monkeys- · 65%
Series resultteam_monkeys- 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2