The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Nemesiswin 1:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Lindorfitosloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Nemesis
Tinysignature
rubikon155 · 24 games
Pangolieroften banned
Jabz · 20 games
Slardarsignature
Jabz · 18 games
Tusk
Jhocam · 18 games
Windranger
Q · 18 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Mac · 16 games
Muertaoften banned
23savage · 15 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jhocam · 15 games
Lindorfitos
Crystal Maiden
StingeR · 1 game
Kezoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Necrophosoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Rubick
StingeR · 1 game
Treant Protectoroften banned
StingeR · 1 game
Windranger
DaaD- · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 405 bans
Rubick
528 picks · 291 bans
Phoenix
485 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 389 bans
Pangolier
427 picks · 608 bans
Puck
345 picks · 985 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 514 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 71%
Hero pool strength51% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Team Nemesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Nemesis 59%Lindorfitos 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Team Nemesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nemesis · 59%
Series resultTeam Nemesis 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1