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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Nemesisloss 0:2
series probability
2%98%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Nemesis

Tiny
Tinysignature
rubikon155 · 24 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Jabz · 18 games
50%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Jabz · 18 games
56%
Windranger
Windranger
Q · 17 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Lelis · 14 games
71%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jhocam · 14 games
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Mac · 14 games
64%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
23savage · 13 games
38%

PARIVISION

Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 29 games
79%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 26 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
68%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 25 games
68%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
80%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
82%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
62%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Satanic · 18 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
613 picks · 435 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
558 picks · 325 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
415 picks · 590 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
405 picks · 368 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
390 picks · 442 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 485 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
326 picks · 372 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
316 picks · 222 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 80%
Hero pool strength58% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total98% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:23
Team Nemesis 15%PARIVISION 85%
The model gave 85% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 41:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
Broodmotherrubikon155
57% · 29 games67% · 28 games
Lone DruidSatanic
Lone Druid
Enigma
EnigmaJabz
49% · 42 games46% · 217 games
PuckNo[o]ne
Puck
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit4nalog
54% · 32 games51% · 123 games
LargoNoticed
Largo
Phoenix
PhoenixYamSun
47% · 209 games47% · 80 games
Dark Willow9Class
Dark Willow
Clockwerk
ClockwerkLelis
50% · 154 games46% · 18 games
OmniknightDukalis
Omniknight
Game 2prediction correct0:0
Team Nemesis 16%PARIVISION 84%
The model gave 84% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 26:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
Doomrubikon155
58% · 95 games43% · 83 games
Drow RangerSatanic
Drow Ranger
Lycan
LycanJabz
60% · 50 games49% · 140 games
EarthshakerNo[o]ne
Earthshaker
Puck
Puck4nalog
56% · 204 games44% · 95 games
Night StalkerNoticed
Night Stalker
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightLelis
53% · 49 games40% · 113 games
Dark Willow9Class
Dark Willow
Bane
BaneYamSun
53% · 90 games44% · 57 games
Winter WyvernDukalis
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 98%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2