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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Nemesisloss 1:2
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Tech Free Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Nemesis

Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
Raven · 1 game
0%
Sven
Sven
Jing · 1 game
0%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Karma丶 · 1 game
0%

Tech Free Gaming

Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
TraVins · 2 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
dalul · 2 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Varizh · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 1 game
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
MamangDaya · 1 game
100%
Muerta
Muerta
dalul · 1 game
0%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
db- · 1 game
0%
Pugna
Pugna
Varizh · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
473 picks · 443 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 500 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
432 picks · 200 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
329 picks · 579 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
289 picks · 402 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 604 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
277 picks · 180 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
262 picks · 74 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Tech Free Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total63% Team Nemesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Nemesis 63%Tech Free Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Team Nemesis.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Nemesis 63%Tech Free Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Tech Free Gaming.
Game 3prediction missed
Team Nemesis 63%Tech Free Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Tech Free Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nemesis · 63%
Series resultTech Free Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3