European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Nemesisloss 0:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Two Movewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Nemesis
Slardarsignature
Jabz · 15 games
Tusk
Jhocam · 15 games
Windrangeroften banned
Q · 15 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jhocam · 14 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mac · 14 games
Tinysignature
Mac · 14 games
Muertaoften banned
23savage · 13 games
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 12 games
Two Move
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
503 picks · 412 bans
Hoodwink
484 picks · 264 bans
Phoenix
481 picks · 544 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 352 bans
Tusk
405 picks · 351 bans
Beastmaster
362 picks · 824 bans
Puck
353 picks · 870 bans
Warlock
345 picks · 203 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Team Nemesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:29
Team Nemesis 61%Two Move 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Two Move in 43:17.
Game 2prediction missed16:29
Team Nemesis 61%Two Move 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Two Move in 35:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nemesis · 61%
Series resultTwo Move 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2