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CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team NextUploss 1:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
V1dar Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team NextUp

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
so bad · 9 games
11%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Miyaoo · 7 games
29%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
7jesu · 6 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
7jesu · 6 games
17%
Sven
Sven
7jesu · 6 games
17%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirage · 6 games
0%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
HappyDyurara · 5 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
VaniLLl · 4 games
50%

V1dar Gaming

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
dizzying · 1 game
0%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Groom · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
402 picks · 895 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
401 picks · 417 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
397 picks · 300 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
389 picks · 803 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
347 picks · 535 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
344 picks · 692 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
340 picks · 478 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
314 picks · 380 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 36%
Hero pool strength54% V1dar Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% V1dar Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team NextUp 47%V1dar Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on V1dar Gaming — the game was taken by V1dar Gaming.
Game 2prediction missed
Team NextUp 47%V1dar Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on V1dar Gaming — the game was taken by Team NextUp.
Game 3prediction correct
Team NextUp 47%V1dar Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on V1dar Gaming — the game was taken by V1dar Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteV1dar Gaming · 53%
Series resultV1dar Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3