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BLAST Slam VIII. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Resiliencewin 2:0
series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Animals Incomingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Resilience

Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
zzq · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Echo · 14 games
50%
Kez
Kezsignature
poyoyo · 11 games
73%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Echo · 10 games
70%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Echo · 9 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
pLAnet · 9 games
44%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
niu · 9 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
pLAnet · 8 games
63%

Animals Incoming

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
491 picks · 332 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
347 picks · 467 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 507 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
330 picks · 503 bans
52%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
312 picks · 643 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
282 picks · 310 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
267 picks · 192 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
260 picks · 279 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Team Resilience
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% Team Resilience
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Resilience 93%Animals Incoming 7%
The model gave 93% on Team Resilience — the game was taken by Team Resilience.
Game 2prediction missed7:34
Team Resilience 93%Animals Incoming 7%
The model gave 93% on Team Resilience — the game was taken by Animals Incoming in 18:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Resilience · 93%
Series resultTeam Resilience 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2