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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Resiliencewin 2:0
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OGloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Resilience

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Echo · 11 games
55%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
zzq · 11 games
73%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Echo · 9 games
67%
Kez
Kezsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
78%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
niu · 9 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Echo · 8 games
63%
Sand King
Sand King
Echo · 8 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
pLAnet · 7 games
71%

OG

Windranger
Windranger
Tims · 21 game
48%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Yopaj · 20 games
40%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Tims · 17 games
29%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 17 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Tims · 16 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Skem · 13 games
46%
Mirana
Mirana
Skem · 13 games
23%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Raven · 12 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
512 picks · 356 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
357 picks · 417 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
346 picks · 636 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 474 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
316 picks · 173 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
309 picks · 344 bans
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
308 picks · 591 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
305 picks · 220 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 36%
Hero pool strength59% Team Resilience
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed45:24
Team Resilience 44%OG 56%
The model gave 56% on OG — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 54:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
Tinypoyoyo
47% · 336 games53% · 132 games
LifestealerNatsumi
Lifestealer
Invoker
InvokerEcho
49% · 141 game55% · 115 games
Earth SpiritYopaj
Earth Spirit
Pangolier
Pangolierniu
49% · 259 games52% · 148 games
UndyingRaven
Undying
Mirana
Miranazzq
52% · 127 games52% · 720 games
HoodwinkTims
Hoodwink
Rubick
RubickpLAnet
46% · 292 games43% · 40 games
Crystal MaidenSkem
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction missed32:15
Team Resilience 42%OG 58%
The model gave 58% on OG — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 32:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendpoyoyo
51% · 317 games54% · 97 games
LinaYopaj
Lina
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritEcho
51% · 166 games49% · 484 games
TinyNatsumi
Tiny
Axe
Axeniu
47% · 278 games52% · 372 games
Centaur WarrunnerRaven
Centaur Warrunner
Undying
Undyingzzq
48% · 177 games52% · 147 games
MiranaSkem
Mirana
Hoodwink
HoodwinkpLAnet
45% · 595 games50% · 433 games
TuskTims
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 65%
Series resultTeam Resilience 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2