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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Resilienceloss 1:2
series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Yandexwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Resilience

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Echo · 12 games
58%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
zzq · 11 games
73%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Echo · 10 games
70%
Kez
Kezsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
78%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
niu · 9 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Echo · 8 games
63%
Sand King
Sand King
Echo · 8 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
pLAnet · 7 games
71%

Team Yandex

Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
82%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Saksa · 21 game
57%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Malady · 19 games
58%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 18 games
72%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 16 games
69%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Saksa · 16 games
44%
Kez
Kezsignature
Watson · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
504 picks · 351 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
359 picks · 423 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
344 picks · 615 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 471 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
312 picks · 597 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
307 picks · 341 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
302 picks · 166 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
300 picks · 215 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 68%
Hero pool strength54% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed47:31
Team Resilience 26%Team Yandex 74%
The model gave 74% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 1:04:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendpoyoyo
47% · 261 game49% · 142 games
Nature's ProphetWatson
Nature's Prophet
Mirana
MiranapLAnet
50% · 145 games44% · 123 games
Earth SpiritChira JUNIOR
Earth Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritEcho
53% · 393 games48% · 332 games
Centaur WarrunnerDM
Centaur Warrunner
Underlord
Underlordniu
48% · 226 games70% · 16 games
Elder TitanMalady
Elder Titan
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernzzq
55% · 99 games52% · 511 games
HoodwinkSaksa
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct5:22
Team Resilience 27%Team Yandex 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 18:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerEcho
49% · 96 games50% · 261 game
KezWatson
Kez
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerniu
56% · 309 games51% · 224 games
TimbersawDM
Timbersaw
Tiny
Tinypoyoyo
47% · 383 games53% · 403 games
PuckChira JUNIOR
Puck
Techies
Techieszzq
50% · 101 game50% · 53 games
Witch DoctorMalady
Witch Doctor
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanpLAnet
51% · 156 games41% · 104 games
MiranaSaksa
Mirana
Game 3prediction correct11:35
Team Resilience 26%Team Yandex 74%
The model gave 74% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 30:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
Kezpoyoyo
51% · 116 games45% · 45 games
LinaWatson
Lina
Underlord
Underlordniu
47% · 131 game54% · 75 games
NecrophosDM
Necrophos
Pangolier
PangolierEcho
49% · 281 game55% · 287 games
SnapfireChira JUNIOR
Snapfire
Rubick
RubickpLAnet
46% · 184 games52% · 133 games
Nature's ProphetSaksa
Nature's Prophet
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernzzq
48% · 93 games50% · 265 games
ClockwerkMalady
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 88%
Series resultTeam Yandex 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3