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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Resiliencewin 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Resilience

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Echo · 8 games
63%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
zzq · 7 games
86%
Kez
Kezsignature
poyoyo · 6 games
83%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Echo · 6 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
pLAnet · 5 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
pLAnet · 4 games
75%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
poyoyo · 4 games
75%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
zzq · 4 games
100%

Yakult Brothers

Tiny
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 20 games
65%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 14 games
64%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Moon · 14 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 13 games
62%
Weaver
Weaversignature
flyfly · 13 games
77%
Jakiro
Jakiro
天命 · 12 games
42%
Largo
Largooften banned
天命 · 12 games
42%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Moon · 12 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
635 picks · 437 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
572 picks · 316 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
482 picks · 579 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
450 picks · 388 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
445 picks · 655 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
355 picks · 525 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
346 picks · 1032 bans
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
341 picks · 409 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Team Resilience
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:19
Team Resilience 48%Yakult Brothers 52%
The model gave 52% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 49:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerpoyoyo
49% · 79 games47% · 416 games
Tinylou
Tiny
Pangolier
Pangolierniu
46% · 463 games50% · 436 games
Storm SpiritSetsu
Storm Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritEcho
50% · 578 games58% · 209 games
DoomXiangyu
Doom
Techies
TechiespLAnet
43% · 181 game51% · 487 games
HoodwinkKaka
Hoodwink
Clockwerk
Clockwerkzzq
52% · 281 game58% · 34 games
Mirana天命
Mirana
Game 2prediction missed41:18
Team Resilience 49%Yakult Brothers 51%
The model gave 51% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 43:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerpoyoyo
46% · 59 games59% · 23 games
Naga Sirenlou
Naga Siren
Necrophos
Necrophosniu
52% · 51 game52% · 72 games
TimbersawXiangyu
Timbersaw
Night Stalker
Night StalkerEcho
42% · 102 games57% · 169 games
PuckSetsu
Puck
Lion
LionpLAnet
52% · 201 game43% · 88 games
RubickKaka
Rubick
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctorzzq
49% · 31 game52% · 92 games
Phoenix天命
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 52%
Series resultTeam Resilience 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2