Team RodjER vs Nix Team — prediction BSB 7 · Dota 2

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BetBoom Streamers Battle 7 · BO1

result vs prediction

Team RodjERloss 0:1

series probability

17%83%

probability at match start · final 0:1

Nix Teamwin 1:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team RodjER

No games played over 6 months.

Nix Team

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Rubick

406 picks · 344 bans

51%

Hoodwink

404 picks · 446 bans

53%

Weaver

385 picks · 824 bans

54%

Tiny

377 picks · 872 bans

54%

Phoenix

356 picks · 736 bans

50%

Pangolier

338 picks · 513 bans

47%

Clockwerk

325 picks · 497 bans

56%

Ember Spirit

296 picks · 548 bans

50%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)25% vs 75%

Hero pool strength50% Team RodjER

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total83% Nix Team

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct34:44

Team RodjER 29%Nix Team 71%

The model gave 71% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 56:14.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo