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DreamLeague Season 28. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Sangrewin 2:0
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infamousloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Sangre

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Yadomi · 1 game
0%
Muerta
Muerta
Michael · 1 game
0%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Sacred · 1 game
0%
Pudge
Pudge
Pakazs · 1 game
0%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Michael · 1 game
0%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Pakazs · 1 game
0%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Sacred · 1 game
0%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
Yadomi · 1 game
0%

Infamous

Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
sl4d1n- · 2 games
50%
Lifestealer
Lifestealer
JP · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CHAAANNN · 1 game
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
JP · 1 game
0%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
CHAAANNN · 1 game
0%
Lion
Lion
sl4d1n- · 1 game
0%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
CHAAANNN · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
563 picks · 661 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
508 picks · 334 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
492 picks · 675 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
448 picks · 529 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
445 picks · 160 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
420 picks · 202 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
386 picks · 522 bans
49%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
370 picks · 501 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team Sangre
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:11
Team Sangre 52%Infamous 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Sangre — the game was taken by Team Sangre in 21:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinPakazs
56% · 74 games44% · 211 games
AbaddonJP
Abaddon
Axe
AxeSacred
40% · 93 games56% · 99 games
Bounty Huntersl4d1n-
Bounty Hunter
Tiny
TinyMichael
53% · 189 games48% · 148 games
DisruptorCHAAANNN
Disruptor
Undying
UndyingYadomi
56% · 102 games
Game 2prediction correct45:24
Team Sangre 52%Infamous 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Sangre — the game was taken by Team Sangre in 30:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerPakazs
46% · 176 games51% · 86 games
Troll WarlordJP
Troll Warlord
Venomancer
VenomancerYadomi
52% · 31 game47% · 251 game
Tinysl4d1n-
Tiny
Slardar
SlardarSacred
54% · 186 games52% · 221 game
RingmasterCHAAANNN
Ringmaster
Muerta
MuertaMichael
50% · 165 games
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sangre · 55%
Series resultTeam Sangre 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2