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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Secretwin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KZ TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Secret

Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
BOOM · 15 games
73%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Crystallis · 14 games
43%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Crystallis · 13 games
62%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Crystallis · 11 games
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Armel · 11 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
yamich · 10 games
60%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Puppey · 10 games
30%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Fbz · 10 games
60%

KZ TEAM

Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
SsaSpartan · 17 games
59%
Rubick
Rubick
dEsire · 16 games
38%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Astral · 14 games
57%
Oracle
Oracle
SsaSpartan · 13 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
SsaSpartan · 13 games
46%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Otaker · 12 games
58%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
W1sh- · 11 games
73%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
SsaSpartan · 11 games
36%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
272 picks · 447 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
246 picks · 392 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
241 picks · 330 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
217 picks · 204 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
216 picks · 102 bans
53%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
195 picks · 492 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
195 picks · 368 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 64%
Hero pool strength53% Team Secret
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team Secret
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct48:13
Team Secret 56%KZ TEAM 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 38:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidCrystallis
51% · 100 games49% · 35 games
PudgeOtaker
Pudge
Primal Beast
Primal BeastBOOM
50% · 169 games53% · 43 games
RazorSkyLark
Razor
Jakiro
JakiroPuppey
40% · 52 games54% · 72 games
InvokerSupream^
Invoker
Lion
LionEkki
51% · 81 game51% · 89 games
Crystal MaidenSsaSpartan
Crystal Maiden
50% · 163 games
TuskAstral
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct45:25
Team Secret 54%KZ TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 51:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingCrystallis
53% · 176 games45% · 263 games
Ember SpiritSupream^
Ember Spirit
Tidehunter
TidehunterBOOM
51% · 151 game49% · 120 games
Faceless VoidOtaker
Faceless Void
Batrider
BatriderPuppey
49% · 283 games52% · 90 games
Centaur WarrunnerSkyLark
Centaur Warrunner
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeEkki
50% · 168 games47% · 219 games
Nature's ProphetSsaSpartan
Nature's Prophet
52% · 86 games
MuertaAstral
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Secret · 60%
Series resultTeam Secret 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2