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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Secretwin 2:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TSMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Secret

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
YapzOr · 12 games
83%
Io
Iooften banned
Puppey · 10 games
30%
Rubick
Rubick
YapzOr · 9 games
44%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
YapzOr · 8 games
63%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
Puppey · 8 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Puppey · 7 games
86%
Magnus
Magnussignature
zai · 7 games
71%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
YapzOr · 7 games
71%

TSM

Bane
Bane
DuBu · 16 games
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
bryle- · 10 games
60%
Weaver
Weaversignature
MoonMeander · 10 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
MoonMeander · 8 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Timado · 8 games
88%
Io
Iosignature
MoonMeander · 7 games
86%
Mirana
Mirana
MoonMeander · 7 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
SabeRLight- · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
539 picks · 364 bans
58%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
475 picks · 574 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
442 picks · 597 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
418 picks · 723 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
350 picks · 541 bans
53%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 573 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
333 picks · 164 bans
47%
Wraith King
Wraith King
279 picks · 356 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% TSM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% TSM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:20
Team Secret 43%TSM 57%
The model gave 57% on TSM — the game was taken by Team Secret in 42:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNisha
47% · 242 games59% · 77 games
JuggernautTimado
Juggernaut
Kunkka
KunkkaSumaiL
52% · 217 games47% · 155 games
Invokerbryle-
Invoker
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Propheticeiceice
50% · 76 games49% · 307 games
MarsSabeRLight-
Mars
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritYapzOr
49% · 158 games53% · 123 games
IoMoonMeander
Io
Lich
LichPuppey
45% · 22 games49% · 53 games
Shadow ShamanDuBu
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction correct26:39
Team Secret 40%TSM 60%
The model gave 60% on TSM — the game was taken by TSM in 38:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingNisha
49% · 192 games43% · 96 games
GyrocopterTimado
Gyrocopter
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSumaiL
47% · 177 games51% · 91 game
Dragon Knightbryle-
Dragon Knight
Sand King
Sand Kingiceiceice
52% · 96 games50% · 70 games
ViperSabeRLight-
Viper
Chen
ChenPuppey
52% · 36 games55% · 123 games
MiranaMoonMeander
Mirana
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageYapzOr
42% · 29 games55% · 150 games
BaneDuBu
Bane
Game 3prediction missed23:19
Team Secret 44%TSM 56%
The model gave 56% on TSM — the game was taken by Team Secret in 34:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaSumaiL
46% · 266 games52% · 161 game
TerrorbladeTimado
Terrorblade
Timbersaw
Timbersawiceiceice
45% · 143 games52% · 208 games
Invokerbryle-
Invoker
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinNisha
56% · 202 games44% · 237 games
TidehunterSabeRLight-
Tidehunter
Chen
ChenPuppey
58% · 38 games47% · 152 games
Monkey KingMoonMeander
Monkey King
Tiny
TinyYapzOr
54% · 164 games49% · 55 games
UndyingDuBu
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteTSM · 64%
Series resultTeam Secret 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3