Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionTteam_senselesslyyloss 0:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
eSpoiledwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
team_senselesslyy
No games played over 6 months.
eSpoiled
Ursaoften banned
ssnovv1 · 4 games
Windranger
Wein · 4 games
Tusk
Wein · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
asdekor_r · 2 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
asdekor_r · 2 games
Oracleoften banned
asdekor_r · 2 games
Bane
asdekor_r · 1 game
Bounty Hunter
Wein · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
484 picks · 449 bans
Tiny
477 picks · 561 bans
Ringmaster
446 picks · 227 bans
Terrorblade
350 picks · 689 bans
Storm Spirit
312 picks · 472 bans
Ancient Apparition
303 picks · 705 bans
Tusk
298 picks · 249 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 88 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% team_senselesslyy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% eSpoiled
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:32
team_senselesslyy 36%eSpoiled 64%
The model gave 64% on eSpoiled — the game was taken by eSpoiled in 17:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteeSpoiled · 64%
Series resulteSpoiled 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1