Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Sin Compromisowin 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AllStarsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Sin Compromiso
No games played over 6 months.
AllStars
Warlock
Accel · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
bsK7- · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Sacred · 3 games
Omniknightoften banned
blessed kid · 3 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Benjimon · 3 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bsK7- · 3 games
Abaddonoften banned
Sacred · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Accel · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
483 picks · 449 bans
Tiny
478 picks · 560 bans
Ringmaster
448 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
352 picks · 700 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 481 bans
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 714 bans
Tusk
301 picks · 252 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 91 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 62%
Hero pool strength56% AllStars
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total83% Team Sin Compromiso
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct49:13
Team Sin Compromiso 70%AllStars 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 22:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaParker
Marsblessed kid
PangolierSacred
Queen of PainBenjimon
Ember SpiritDarkMago
TuskAccel
Nature's ProphetGenek
BanePanda
Game 2prediction correct66:36
Team Sin Compromiso 69%AllStars 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 31:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaParker
Omniknightblessed kid
MarsDarkMago
PangolierBenjimon
Nature's ProphetGenek
BaneAccel
PhoenixSacred
Naga SirenPanda
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sin Compromiso · 83%
Series resultTeam Sin Compromiso 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2