The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Sin Compromisowin 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AllStarsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Sin Compromiso
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Genek · 3 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Parker · 2 games
Linaoften banned
Parker · 2 games
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 2 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
Panda · 2 games
Oracleoften banned
Panda · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
Sacred · 2 games
Tinyoften banned
DarkMago · 2 games
AllStars
Warlocksignature
Accel · 6 games
Omniknightoften banned
blessed kid · 5 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Benjimon · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Sacred · 4 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
bsK7- · 3 games
Kunkkaoften banned
blessed kid · 3 games
Oracleoften banned
Accel · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Benjimon · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
498 picks · 578 bans
Jakiro
490 picks · 442 bans
Ringmaster
459 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
358 picks · 721 bans
Ancient Apparition
326 picks · 743 bans
Storm Spirit
324 picks · 503 bans
Tusk
309 picks · 267 bans
Windranger
301 picks · 93 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% Team Sin Compromiso
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total83% Team Sin Compromiso
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:14
Team Sin Compromiso 71%AllStars 29%
The model gave 71% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 28:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SvenParker
Dawnbreakerblessed kid
BristlebackSacred
Dragon KnightBenjimon
Ember SpiritDarkMago
TuskAccel
MuertaGenek
ClockwerkPanda
Game 2prediction correct27:12
Team Sin Compromiso 70%AllStars 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 19:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaParker
PangolierBenjimon
Ember SpiritDarkMago
Centaur Warrunnerblessed kid
TidehunterSacred
PhoenixAccel
Nature's ProphetPanda
PudgeGenek
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sin Compromiso · 83%
Series resultTeam Sin Compromiso 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2