The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Sin Compromiso
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Beastmasteroften banned
Hermit · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
S1RENM · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
S1RENM · 7 games
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
Queen of Painoften banned
S1RENM · 6 games
Ursaoften banned
DM · 6 games
Clockwerk
JimmyCoff666 · 5 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
477 picks · 452 bans
Tiny
462 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 216 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 632 bans
Storm Spirit
302 picks · 440 bans
Ancient Apparition
293 picks · 643 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 212 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 79 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% Team Sin Compromiso
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Team Sin Compromiso
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:3
Team Sin Compromiso 81%Infamous 19%
The model gave 81% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 5:03.
Game 2prediction missed7:22
Team Sin Compromiso 81%Infamous 19%
The model gave 81% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Infamous in 14:46.
Game 3prediction correct33:20
Team Sin Compromiso 81%Infamous 19%
The model gave 81% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 29:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sin Compromiso · 81%
Series resultTeam Sin Compromiso 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3