DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTSTeam Slayerswin 2:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TKTeam Kssssssssyloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Slayers
No games played over 6 months.
Team Kssssssssy
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
291 picks · 707 bans
Shadow Shaman
276 picks · 178 bans
Disruptor
258 picks · 239 bans
Dawnbreaker
256 picks · 659 bans
Tusk
249 picks · 250 bans
Pugna
247 picks · 257 bans
Marci
245 picks · 631 bans
Dark Willow
244 picks · 103 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Team Slayers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Team Slayers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:20
Team Slayers 52%Team Kssssssssy 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Slayers — the game was taken by Team Slayers in 40:00.
Game 2prediction missed12:40
Team Slayers 52%Team Kssssssssy 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Slayers — the game was taken by Team Kssssssssy in 39:12.
Game 3prediction correct29:14
Team Slayers 52%Team Kssssssssy 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Slayers — the game was taken by Team Slayers in 37:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Slayers · 52%
Series resultTeam Slayers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3