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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGwin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Army Geniusesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team SMG

Lion
Lion
Roddgeee · 16 games
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
AhFu · 11 games
36%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 10 games
80%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Roddgeee · 9 games
56%
Mars
Marssignature
Ohaiyo · 9 games
67%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 9 games
78%
Tusk
Tusk
AhFu · 9 games
56%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Moon · 9 games
89%

Army Geniuses

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Lym- · 13 games
69%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 11 games
55%
Mirana
Mirana
Lym- · 8 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 7 games
43%
Axe
Axesignature
db- · 6 games
67%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 6 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
woMy · 6 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Lym- · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
429 picks · 166 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 473 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
306 picks · 526 bans
49%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
303 picks · 618 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
299 picks · 709 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
269 picks · 344 bans
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
261 picks · 110 bans
51%
Lina
Lina
258 picks · 329 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 41%
Hero pool strength54% Team SMG
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total57% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:33
Team SMG 55%Army Geniuses 45%
The model gave 55% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Team SMG in 32:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinMoon
60% · 55 games43% · 53 games
Bloodseekerdb-
Bloodseeker
Dark Seer
Dark Seerkpii
47% · 64 games50% · 52 games
KunkkaMamangDaya
Kunkka
Tidehunter
TidehunterMidOne
59% · 77 games46% · 28 games
BroodmotherwoMy
Broodmother
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritAhFu
50% · 94 games47% · 157 games
LionLym-
Lion
Omniknight
OmniknightRoddgeee
little data
Game 2prediction correct40:24
Team SMG 53%Army Geniuses 47%
The model gave 53% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Team SMG in 29:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark Seer
Dark Seerkpii
44% · 49 games62% · 77 games
Doomdb-
Doom
Lifestealer
LifestealerMidOne
38% · 30 games57% · 93 games
Templar AssassinMamangDaya
Templar Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMoon
43% · 59 games57% · 76 games
Nature's ProphetwoMy
Nature's Prophet
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritAhFu
38% · 72 games56% · 122 games
ClockwerkLym-
Clockwerk
Lion
LionRoddgeee
45% · 158 games
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 57%
Series resultTeam SMG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2