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BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGloss 1:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Army Geniusesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team SMG

Bane
Banesignature
Poloson · 9 games
67%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
AhFu · 9 games
78%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
pieliedie · 7 games
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Moon · 7 games
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Moon · 7 games
57%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernoften banned
Poloson · 7 games
43%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
MidOne · 6 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Moon · 5 games
60%

Army Geniuses

Tiny
Tiny
NARMAN · 17 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 15 games
47%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Varizh · 11 games
45%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 11 games
55%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 10 games
40%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 9 games
67%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
NARMAN · 8 games
63%
Mars
Marssignature
woMy · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
613 picks · 462 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
461 picks · 670 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
380 picks · 537 bans
44%
Puck
Puck
374 picks · 825 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
316 picks · 398 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
302 picks · 483 bans
50%
Zeus
Zeus
265 picks · 350 bans
43%
Dazzle
Dazzle
260 picks · 163 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:19
Team SMG 57%Army Geniuses 43%
The model gave 57% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Team SMG in 30:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Legion Commander
Legion Commandermks-
44% · 38 games51% · 90 games
Faceless Voiddb-
Faceless Void
Pangolier
PangolierMoon
49% · 174 games43% · 37 games
BroodmotherwoMy
Broodmother
Magnus
MagnusMidOne
47% · 30 games51% · 121 game
BatriderinYourdreaM
Batrider
Snapfire
SnapfireAhFu
45% · 207 games56% · 128 games
RubickNARMAN
Rubick
Oracle
OraclePoloson
47% · 36 games62% · 109 games
UndyingVarizh
Undying
Game 2prediction missed33:52
Team SMG 56%Army Geniuses 44%
The model gave 56% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 50:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith Kingmks-
51% · 167 games49% · 65 games
Shadow Fienddb-
Shadow Fiend
Death Prophet
Death ProphetMoon
54% · 297 games51% · 445 games
MarswoMy
Mars
Magnus
MagnusMidOne
57% · 69 games49% · 369 games
TinyinYourdreaM
Tiny
Snapfire
SnapfirePoloson
47% · 335 games49% · 90 games
EarthshakerNARMAN
Earthshaker
Rubick
RubickAhFu
53% · 170 games40% · 69 games
GyrocopterVarizh
Gyrocopter
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2