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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGloss 1:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team SMG

Lion
Lion
Roddgeee · 19 games
58%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Roddgeee · 14 games
64%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 14 games
79%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 13 games
69%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Moon · 12 games
58%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
AhFu · 11 games
36%
Tusk
Tusksignature
AhFu · 11 games
64%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Moon · 11 games
91%

Yangon Galacticos

Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
382 picks · 171 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
349 picks · 127 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
261 picks · 432 bans
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 522 bans
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
255 picks · 344 bans
47%
Luna
Luna
253 picks · 344 bans
51%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
249 picks · 245 bans
53%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
237 picks · 496 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 40%
Hero pool strength61% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:6
Team SMG 54%Yangon Galacticos 46%
The model gave 54% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Team SMG in 20:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinMidOne
59% · 62 games48% · 34 games
SvenKsh
Sven
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernMoon
50% · 57 games47% · 218 games
PuckYoung PH
Puck
Venomancer
Venomancerkpii
44% · 16 games
Abaddon
AbaddonRoddgeee
56% · 74 games
Alchemist
AlchemistAhFu
52% · 43 games
Game 2prediction missed32:40
Team SMG 55%Yangon Galacticos 45%
The model gave 55% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 40:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenMidOne
69% · 18 games37% · 14 games
ClinkzKsh
Clinkz
Tiny
TinyMoon
56% · 40 games45% · 85 games
Storm SpiritYoung PH
Storm Spirit
Tinker
Tinkerkpii
little data
Earthshaker
EarthshakerAhFu
47% · 15 games
Invoker
InvokerRoddgeee
53% · 26 games
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2