Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO1
result vs predictionTSTeam Spaghettloss 0:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Monaspawin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spaghett
No games played over 6 months.
Monaspa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
264 picks · 335 bans
Tidehunter
260 picks · 384 bans
Monkey King
247 picks · 583 bans
Void Spirit
225 picks · 251 bans
Lion
223 picks · 103 bans
Lina
221 picks · 456 bans
Pangolier
218 picks · 271 bans
Bane
213 picks · 139 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Team Spaghett
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team Spaghett
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:41
Team Spaghett 51%Monaspa 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Spaghett — the game was taken by Monaspa in 40:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spaghett · 51%
Series resultMonaspa 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1