ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spirit Academyloss 0:1series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Ilbirs eSportswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit Academy
Dark Willow
Aidar · 12 games
Witch Doctor
Aidar · 12 games
Abaddonoften banned
rubikon155 · 9 games
Primal Beastoften banned
SunshineRR · 9 games
Tidehunteroften banned
SunshineRR · 9 games
Techies
Aidar · 8 games
Broodmotheroften banned
rubikon155 · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
SunshineRR · 7 games
Ilbirs eSports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
547 picks · 743 bans
Tusk
488 picks · 351 bans
Dragon Knight
465 picks · 640 bans
Centaur Warrunner
439 picks · 541 bans
Shadow Demon
373 picks · 641 bans
Gyrocopter
362 picks · 550 bans
Hoodwink
349 picks · 158 bans
Mars
348 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 29%
Hero pool strength57% Ilbirs eSports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Team Spirit Academy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:37
Team Spirit Academy 61%Ilbirs eSports 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Spirit Academy — the game was taken by Ilbirs eSports in 41:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddonrubikon155
Ursaegx
Storm Spirit86
AxeAskold
DawnbreakerSunshineRR
TuskAidar
Jakirokyford
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit Academy · 74%
Series resultIlbirs eSports 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1