DreamLeague Season 30. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spirit Academyloss 0:1series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:1
KCKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit Academy
Grimstroke
Aidar · 25 games
Dark Willow
Aidar · 17 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
86 · 17 games
Batridersignature
86 · 13 games
Kunkka
86 · 12 games
Largosignature
kae · 12 games
Baneoften banned
kyford · 10 games
Axeoften banned
kae · 9 games
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
525 picks · 318 bans
Dark Willow
441 picks · 211 bans
Mirana
391 picks · 177 bans
Winter Wyvern
341 picks · 306 bans
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 505 bans
Centaur Warrunner
311 picks · 294 bans
Earth Spirit
288 picks · 514 bans
Windranger
278 picks · 138 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Spirit Academy 16%KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 84%
The model gave 84% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI.
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 84%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1