The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spirit Academywin 1:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Waffle Warriorsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit Academy
Jakiro
kyford · 18 games
Lion
Aidar · 16 games
Dark Willow
Aidar · 13 games
Warlock
kyford · 13 games
Dazzle
kyford · 11 games
Grimstroke
Aidar · 11 games
Kunkkaoften banned
kae · 10 games
Tiny
86 · 10 games
Waffle Warriors
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 409 bans
Rubick
529 picks · 296 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 391 bans
Pangolier
427 picks · 612 bans
Puck
346 picks · 984 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 516 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Waffle Warriors
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Team Spirit Academy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:17
Team Spirit Academy 57%Waffle Warriors 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Spirit Academy — the game was taken by Team Spirit Academy in 30:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit Academy · 57%
Series resultTeam Spirit Academy 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1