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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Aurora Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Larl · 25 games
60%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 25 games
84%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 23 games
65%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 17 games
82%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 17 games
59%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Larl · 17 games
71%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Miposhka · 17 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 15 games
73%

Aurora Gaming

Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Jabz · 13 games
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 12 games
42%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 11 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Q · 11 games
36%
Batrider
Batrider
Q · 10 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Q · 10 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
23savage · 9 games
44%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Q · 9 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
354 picks · 311 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
344 picks · 478 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
336 picks · 462 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
324 picks · 209 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
317 picks · 593 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 458 bans
47%
Luna
Luna
266 picks · 330 bans
57%
Windranger
Windranger
263 picks · 365 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 42%
Hero pool strength60% Team Spirit
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total57% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:30
Team Spirit 54%Aurora Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 56:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackSatanic
50% · 99 games51% · 107 games
Monkey KingAbed
Monkey King
Puck
PuckLarl
46% · 274 games49% · 244 games
LunaTA2000
Luna
Enigma
EnigmaMalik
52% · 113 games55% · 211 games
MarsJabz
Mars
Elder Titan
Elder TitanMiposhka
54% · 102 games54% · 76 games
MuertaQ
Muerta
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkrue
44% · 331 game48% · 281 game
BatriderKaori
Batrider
Game 2prediction correct33:8
Team Spirit 54%Aurora Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 28:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaSatanic
47% · 163 games52% · 263 games
LunaTA2000
Luna
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMalik
53% · 352 games50% · 384 games
PangolierAbed
Pangolier
Invoker
InvokerLarl
46% · 191 game46% · 183 games
BeastmasterJabz
Beastmaster
Clockwerk
ClockwerkMiposhka
51% · 362 games53% · 299 games
BatriderQ
Batrider
Dark Willow
Dark Willowrue
50% · 335 games52% · 274 games
TuskKaori
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 57%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2