Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Grimstrokesignature
Miposhka · 23 games
Rubick
Mira · 21 game
Tinyoften banned
Larl · 19 games
Pucksignature
Larl · 18 games
Lion
Mira · 17 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Larl · 15 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Mira · 15 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Collapse · 13 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
498 picks · 784 bans
Batrider
460 picks · 967 bans
Techies
457 picks · 351 bans
Crystal Maiden
455 picks · 196 bans
Mars
451 picks · 718 bans
Tiny
450 picks · 599 bans
Rubick
438 picks · 205 bans
Pangolier
424 picks · 718 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 62%
Hero pool strength55% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:34
Team Spirit 59%Entity 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Entity in 56:27.
Game 2prediction missed34:36
Team Spirit 59%Entity 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Entity in 53:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 59%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2