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UNIVERSE by FISSURE · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0
series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LEGIONloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
not me · 36 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 24 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
not me · 21 game
71%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
not me · 17 games
76%
Doom
Doomsignature
Collapse · 17 games
76%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
not me · 17 games
71%
Largo
Largooften banned
Collapse · 14 games
57%
Techies
Techiesoften banned
not me · 14 games
57%

LEGION

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
xsvampire · 9 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
xsvampire · 9 games
33%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Kidaro · 9 games
44%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Stojkov · 8 games
38%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
SabeRLight- · 7 games
71%
Largo
Largooften banned
SabeRLight- · 7 games
57%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidsignature
DarkLord^ · 7 games
71%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Kidaro · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
604 picks · 387 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
558 picks · 342 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
460 picks · 202 bans
51%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
445 picks · 391 bans
55%
Windranger
Windranger
423 picks · 209 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
354 picks · 574 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
334 picks · 607 bans
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
303 picks · 269 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total93% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:18
Team Spirit 78%LEGION 22%
The model gave 78% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 42:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezYatoro
51% · 252 games53% · 101 game
LinaStojkov
Lina
Earthshaker
EarthshakerLarl
51% · 52 games45% · 134 games
LifestealerDarkLord^
Lifestealer
Mars
MarsBatyuk
46% · 164 games51% · 148 games
BrewmasterSabeRLight-
Brewmaster
Techies
Techiesrue
50% · 262 games50% · 649 games
HoodwinkKJ
Hoodwink
Dark Willow
Dark Willownot me
48% · 424 games58% · 122 games
Nyx Assassinxsvampire
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction correct36:32
Team Spirit 79%LEGION 21%
The model gave 79% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 1:03:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezYatoro
52% · 354 games51% · 459 games
WindrangerDarkLord^
Windranger
Tidehunter
TidehunterBatyuk
49% · 248 games59% · 299 games
LargoSabeRLight-
Largo
Sand King
Sand KingLarl
45% · 142 games55% · 450 games
Ember SpiritStojkov
Ember Spirit
Hoodwink
Hoodwinknot me
46% · 842 games45% · 407 games
Dark Willowxsvampire
Dark Willow
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctorrue
50% · 189 games46% · 160 games
DazzleKJ
Dazzle
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 93%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2