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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0
series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
nounsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 11 games
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Mira · 10 games
90%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Mira · 10 games
90%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Larl · 10 games
100%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Mira · 8 games
75%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Mira · 8 games
100%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Miposhka · 8 games
100%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Yatoro · 7 games
100%

nouns

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Fly · 15 games
67%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Fly · 15 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Stormstormer · 12 games
75%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
YamSun · 12 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Stormstormer · 11 games
82%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gunnar · 10 games
80%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Lelis · 10 games
60%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Gunnar · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 555 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
315 picks · 240 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
314 picks · 274 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
312 picks · 453 bans
50%
Magnus
Magnus
276 picks · 436 bans
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
272 picks · 773 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
271 picks · 459 bans
52%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
269 picks · 656 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 67%
Hero pool strength61% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total91% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:21
Team Spirit 77%nouns 23%
The model gave 77% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 42:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Arc Warden
Arc WardenYatoro
53% · 12 games53% · 66 games
SvenYuma
Sven
Puck
PuckLarl
49% · 181 game52% · 107 games
Dragon KnightGunnar
Dragon Knight
Slardar
SlardarCollapse
40% · 32 games53% · 213 games
PangolierStormstormer
Pangolier
Snapfire
SnapfireMira
47% · 234 games52% · 159 games
Nature's ProphetFly
Nature's Prophet
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritMiposhka
49% · 196 games54% · 110 games
GrimstrokeLelis
Grimstroke
Game 2prediction correct42:14
Team Spirit 75%nouns 25%
The model gave 75% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 48:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritLarl
48% · 317 games51% · 206 games
TerrorbladeYuma
Terrorblade
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidYatoro
55% · 199 games50% · 318 games
TinyStormstormer
Tiny
Sand King
Sand KingCollapse
46% · 7 games53% · 195 games
MagnusGunnar
Magnus
Rubick
RubickMira
44% · 516 games50% · 201 game
PhoenixFly
Phoenix
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionMiposhka
51% · 64 games50% · 183 games
LionLelis
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 91%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2