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DreamLeague Season 19 · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 0:1
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:1
OGwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Mira · 44 games
68%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 29 games
66%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Larl · 26 games
62%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 24 games
83%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Miposhka · 23 games
61%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Collapse · 20 games
80%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 19 games
74%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Mira · 19 games
47%

OG

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Taiga · 23 games
61%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 16 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
Taiga · 12 games
42%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
bzm · 11 games
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Misha · 11 games
45%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Taiga · 10 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Chuvash · 10 games
60%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Yuragi · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
992 picks · 672 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
662 picks · 484 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
597 picks · 950 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
560 picks · 437 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
528 picks · 354 bans
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
517 picks · 512 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
516 picks · 1137 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
488 picks · 365 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 44%
Hero pool strength57% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:42
Team Spirit 60%OG 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by OG in 1:07:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaYatoro
50% · 129 games40% · 151 game
Invokerbzm
Invoker
Tiny
TinyLarl
50% · 447 games48% · 311 games
DoomYuragi
Doom
Beastmaster
BeastmasterCollapse
57% · 233 games46% · 73 games
VenomancerDM
Venomancer
Rubick
RubickMira
48% · 385 games57% · 384 games
DisruptorChuvash
Disruptor
Oracle
OracleMiposhka
62% · 16 games51% · 291 game
Monkey KingTaiga
Monkey King
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 67%
Series resultOG 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1