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BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:1
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 2:1
PARIVISIONloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
not me · 35 games
51%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 23 games
61%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
not me · 21 game
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
not me · 19 games
63%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
not me · 16 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
Collapse · 15 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
not me · 14 games
71%
Techies
Techies
not me · 14 games
57%

PARIVISION

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 29 games
90%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 29 games
66%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 27 games
78%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 27 games
78%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
70%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 23 games
87%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
77%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 20 games
85%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
515 picks · 318 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
439 picks · 218 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
393 picks · 176 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
339 picks · 309 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
327 picks · 499 bans
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
300 picks · 288 bans
54%
Windranger
Windranger
280 picks · 132 bans
51%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
279 picks · 508 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 77%
Hero pool strength60% PARIVISION
Head-to-head6 – 3
Model total74% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Spirit 26%PARIVISION 74%
The model gave 74% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Spirit 26%PARIVISION 74%
The model gave 74% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Spirit.
Game 3prediction missed
Team Spirit 26%PARIVISION 74%
The model gave 74% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Spirit.
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 74%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3