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BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:1
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Yandexloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rue · 35 games
49%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 21 game
62%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
not me · 21 game
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
not me · 20 games
70%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
not me · 16 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
Collapse · 14 games
71%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yatoro · 14 games
71%
Bane
Banesignature
rue · 13 games
85%

Team Yandex

Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Malady · 22 games
91%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 19 games
63%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 18 games
83%
Kez
Kezsignature
Watson · 17 games
82%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 17 games
76%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Chira JUNIOR · 13 games
69%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Malady · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
529 picks · 309 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
430 picks · 189 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
391 picks · 173 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 506 bans
58%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
328 picks · 297 bans
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
313 picks · 312 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
304 picks · 507 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
283 picks · 149 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 71%
Hero pool strength57% Team Yandex
Head-to-head3 – 8
Model total63% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:27
Team Spirit 40%Team Yandex 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 36:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Viper
ViperYatoro
47% · 145 games56% · 96 games
Lone DruidWatson
Lone Druid
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerBatyuk
46% · 88 games60% · 76 games
HuskarATF
Huskar
Pangolier
PangolierLarl
46% · 274 games49% · 127 games
Monkey KingChira JUNIOR
Monkey King
Dark Willow
Dark Willownot me
47% · 195 games53% · 281 game
WindrangerSaksa
Windranger
Disruptor
Disruptorrue
39% · 105 games56% · 227 games
ClockwerkMalady
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed36:13
Team Spirit 42%Team Yandex 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 26:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetYatoro
55% · 142 games59% · 31 game
Phantom LancerWatson
Phantom Lancer
Lycan
LycanBatyuk
56% · 62 games49% · 123 games
InvokerChira JUNIOR
Invoker
Pangolier
PangolierLarl
48% · 227 games56% · 57 games
HuskarATF
Huskar
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinnot me
55% · 72 games44% · 176 games
Dark WillowSaksa
Dark Willow
Techies
Techiesrue
50% · 91 game40% · 207 games
JakiroMalady
Jakiro
Game 3prediction missed0:0
Team Spirit 37%Team Yandex 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 59:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 63%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3