GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 0:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Tundra Esportswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Banesignature
Miposhka · 29 games
Ember Spiritsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 17 games
Marssignature
Collapse · 17 games
Tidehuntersignature
Collapse · 14 games
Weaversignature
Mira · 13 games
Lionsignature
Mira · 12 games
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 12 games
Iosignature
Mira · 11 games
Tundra Esports
Banesignature
Fata · 16 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Skiter · 13 games
Gyrocopter
Fata · 11 games
Queen of Painsignature
Nine · 11 games
Doomsignature
33 · 10 games
Spirit Breakersignature
Sneyking · 9 games
Weaversignature
Sneyking · 9 games
Dark Seersignature
33 · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
543 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
472 picks · 574 bans
Mars
439 picks · 589 bans
Weaver
417 picks · 734 bans
Kunkka
350 picks · 538 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
334 picks · 170 bans
Wraith King
281 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)79% vs 62%
Hero pool strength54% Team Spirit
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total64% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:34
Team Spirit 64%Tundra Esports 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 40:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember SpiritYatoro
Chaos KnightSkiter
Queen of PainTORONTOTOKYO
InvokerNine
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
Sand King33
RubickRodjER
HoodwinkSaksa
BaneMiposhka
Shadow DemonSneyking
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 64%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1