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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 1:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yakult Brothersloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Batrider
Batridersignature
rue · 29 games
66%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 29 games
62%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Satanic · 26 games
58%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Larl · 24 games
83%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Miposhka · 23 games
65%
Tusk
Tusk
Miposhka · 22 games
50%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Larl · 21 game
62%
Lion
Lion
rue · 21 game
52%

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
BoBoKa · 34 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
天命 · 24 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 23 games
70%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 22 games
59%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
43%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 21 game
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 19 games
58%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
518 picks · 807 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
515 picks · 627 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
491 picks · 498 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
466 picks · 566 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
433 picks · 369 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
431 picks · 1015 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
413 picks · 780 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
393 picks · 211 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total59% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:18
Team Spirit 56%Yakult Brothers 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 34:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackCollapse
53% · 244 games53% · 172 games
LunaAme
Luna
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritLarl
42% · 277 games51% · 221 game
Storm SpiritEmo
Storm Spirit
Slardar
SlardarYatoro
45% · 116 games52% · 240 games
Primal Beastzeal
Primal Beast
Muerta
Muertarue
46% · 207 games54% · 234 games
EnchantressBoBoKa
Enchantress
Mirana
MiranaMiposhka
53% · 218 games51% · 195 games
Crystal Maiden天命
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct24:12
Team Spirit 59%Yakult Brothers 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 32:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaYatoro
55% · 79 gameslittle data
JuggernautAme
Juggernaut
Monkey King
Monkey KingLarl
59% · 115 games41% · 99 games
Ember SpiritEmo
Ember Spirit
Tidehunter
TidehunterCollapse
52% · 54 games44% · 176 games
Beastmasterzeal
Beastmaster
Warlock
WarlockMiposhka
60% · 43 gameslittle data
RingmasterBoBoKa
Ringmaster
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunterrue
62% · 26 games43% · 42 games
Jakiro天命
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2