European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Stelsloss 0:1series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Rune Eaterswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Stels
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
ArrOw · 1 game
Ringmaster
ArrOw · 1 game
Rubick
ArrOw · 1 game
Shadow Shaman
ArrOw · 1 game
Snapfire
ArrOw · 1 game
Rune Eaters
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 48 games
Jakiro
monodrama · 45 games
Tusk
ani-san · 38 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 37 games
Tiny
ani-san · 36 games
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
515 picks · 422 bans
Hoodwink
476 picks · 250 bans
Phoenix
474 picks · 536 bans
Tiny
464 picks · 355 bans
Tusk
414 picks · 356 bans
Beastmaster
360 picks · 807 bans
Puck
353 picks · 859 bans
Warlock
348 picks · 203 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Stels 30%Rune Eaters 70%
The model gave 70% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Stels 30%Rune Eaters 70%
The model gave 70% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 70%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2