DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Stormloss 0:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PPantheonwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Storm
No games played over 6 months.
Pantheon
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
357 picks · 344 bans
Hoodwink
354 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
324 picks · 508 bans
Sven
294 picks · 305 bans
Snapfire
293 picks · 262 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 387 bans
Dragon Knight
276 picks · 458 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 30%
Hero pool strength50% Team Storm
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team Storm
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Storm 60%Pantheon 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Storm — the game was taken by Pantheon.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Storm · 60%
Series resultPantheon 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1