UNIVERSE by FISSURE. Закрытая квалификация · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Synapseloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BlasterbIwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Synapse
Dark Willowsignature
Jeezy · 25 games
Ringmaster
Jeezy · 13 games
Mirana
emptiness · 10 games
Dazzlesignature
bengan · 9 games
Techiessignature
Jeezy · 9 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
emptiness · 8 games
Clockwerksignature
bengan · 8 games
Baneoften banned
Stoic · 7 games
BlasterbI
Dark Willow
Panto · 5 games
Witch Doctor
Panto · 4 games
Clockwerk
Hellscream · 3 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 3 games
Earthshaker
Hellscream · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 3 games
Necrophosoften banned
Corrupted · 3 games
Sven
Munkushi~ · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
529 picks · 316 bans
Dark Willow
438 picks · 205 bans
Mirana
390 picks · 177 bans
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 506 bans
Winter Wyvern
336 picks · 310 bans
Centaur Warrunner
314 picks · 301 bans
Earth Spirit
296 picks · 508 bans
Windranger
281 picks · 139 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% BlasterbI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% BlasterbI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed48:54
Team Synapse 51%BlasterbI 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Synapse — the game was taken by BlasterbI in 1:22:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LifestealerTA2000
WindrangerMunkushi~
PuckMikey
LargoCorrupted
Marsemptiness
Void SpiritSquad1x
TechiesJeezy
BatriderHellscream
Winter Wyvernbengan
Witch DoctorPanto
Game 2prediction missed47:32
Team Synapse 50%BlasterbI 50%
The model gave 50% on Team Synapse — the game was taken by BlasterbI in 1:13:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosTA2000
LunaMunkushi~
Sand KingMikey
PuckSquad1x
Brewmasteremptiness
Dragon KnightCorrupted
WindrangerJeezy
EarthshakerHellscream
Witch Doctorbengan
DazzlePanto
Model check result
Model favoriteBlasterbI · 50%
Series resultBlasterbI 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2