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UNIVERSE by FISSURE. Закрытая квалификация · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Synapseloss 0:2
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LEGIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Synapse

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Jeezy · 24 games
63%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Jeezy · 13 games
46%
Mirana
Mirana
emptiness · 10 games
40%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
bengan · 9 games
89%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
bengan · 8 games
63%
Techies
Techiessignature
Jeezy · 8 games
75%
Bane
Baneoften banned
bengan · 7 games
43%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
emptiness · 7 games
71%

LEGION

Dazzle
Dazzle
Kidaro · 2 games
50%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Stojkov · 2 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
xsvampire · 2 games
100%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Stojkov · 2 games
100%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 1 game
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
xsvampire · 1 game
0%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
SabeRLight- · 1 game
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
SabeRLight- · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
531 picks · 320 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
439 picks · 202 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
393 picks · 174 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 509 bans
57%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
336 picks · 310 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
315 picks · 305 bans
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
303 picks · 513 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
282 picks · 145 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 67%
Hero pool strength51% Team Synapse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Team Synapse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:24
Team Synapse 65%LEGION 35%
The model gave 65% on Team Synapse — the game was taken by LEGION in 47:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezTA2000
54% · 237 games43% · 38 games
Phantom LancerDarkLord^
Phantom Lancer
Marci
MarciMikey
54% · 100 games46% · 259 games
Storm SpiritStojkov
Storm Spirit
Mars
Marsemptiness
56% · 168 games51% · 199 games
LargoSabeRLight-
Largo
Techies
TechiesJeezy
50% · 163 games48% · 157 games
MiranaKidaro
Mirana
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernbengan
56% · 224 games41% · 239 games
Dark Willowxsvampire
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction missed24:35
Team Synapse 64%LEGION 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Synapse — the game was taken by LEGION in 38:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetTA2000
47% · 164 games39% · 122 games
TerrorbladeDarkLord^
Terrorblade
Necrophos
NecrophosMikey
59% · 66 games50% · 111 games
DawnbreakerSabeRLight-
Dawnbreaker
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneremptiness
49% · 267 games49% · 244 games
Dragon KnightStojkov
Dragon Knight
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctorbengan
53% · 64 games55% · 68 games
Nyx Assassinxsvampire
Nyx Assassin
Dark Willow
Dark WillowJeezy
52% · 204 games54% · 220 games
Winter WyvernKidaro
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Synapse · 75%
Series resultLEGION 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2